Archive for April, 2008

Amazing annual report

Tuesday, April 29th, 2008
I've never been more impressed by an annual report than this.

The chairman and the management believes that a good annual report is one that teaches the owners of the company how to interpret the results. And boy, they did enlighten me! They mentioned that for a good analytical review of a business, the balance sheet classifications and other non-profit number indicators should not be an 'art and science' to understand - it must be easily interpreted. He did exactly that.


This forms a very very interesting reading as he goes on and tell the owners (yes, he calls the shareholders that) how to interpret their results and why they do certain things. He even explains the terms of the balance sheet for the owners, so that they know how to interpret it themselves. The managing director's statement goes on like that for 8 pages, which he explains with crystal clarity how to interpret the numbers and what it means for the business. I'm thoroughly washed with his sincerity and desire to educate owners.

Take a look at the chairman's message below.

Amazing right? It's also interesting to note that the founder and now non-executive chairman is a senior craft teacher, so perhaps he finds great satisfaction in educating owners for a win-win relationship. Why win-win? It's because while teaching others, you will also learn from your students if you keep an open mind. I think he managed to pass this philosophy to his son, the present Managing director.

Have you ever seen a consolidated balance sheet which is as easy to read as this?


I think a close fight will be from china milk. China milk's annual report is such a classic, with its own mascot talking and explaining to shareholders, that everyone should at least browse through it, regardless of whether one finds it of investing interest or not.

Of importance is that this kind of style is not only for the FY07, it goes all the way back! Their clarity and desire to educate owners are amazing. I browsed through the FY06 and was suitably impressed by it too. Here, they are trying to educate owners what higher EPS, higher ROE and NAV means to everyone. I must read all their annual reports - I do find their insights refreshing. It's akin to Berkshire's style of explaining their annual report to shareholders.


I have more to say, but I think I'll stop here, lest I'm accused of promoting this company. I have no investing interest in it (not yet anyway, though my interest and curiosity is piqued) and have no vested interest in it. I did bought long long time ago and sold for a mere $180 back in 2006 as it is one of the few stocks I bought when I started this investing business.

When I have a listed company in which I have to write the statements, you can be sure that I'll follow their style. Such is the effect of their enlightening report on me.

So here's the riddle - which company is this?

HSBC 1 yr chart

Monday, April 28th, 2008
HSBC chart



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Added a new company to my portfolio today, can you spot it?

More on inflation

Sunday, April 27th, 2008
In the last post, we talked about how inflation will hurt us badly. Today we shall discuss some countermeasures.

So inflation is a major issue if you think hard about it. All your savings goes down the drain and you are back to square one. You think you save S$1mn for your retirement and that should be enough. But hey 30 yrs from now, S$1mn cannot even buy HDB, Bcos the value of S$1mn in 2038 is worth only S$300,000 in 2008 and basically you might even have lost money even though you saved like mad for the past 30 yrs. What the heck! What should we do?

Actually there is nothing much we can do, except to invest in stocks and real estate properties. Historically these are the only two asset classes that can keep up with inflation. With stocks, you are buying pieces of companies and good companies will create value for their shareholders, inflation or not. The same goes for real estate.

There are some other unconventional methods to beat inflation completely original from this blogger so just read for fun and implement at your own risk!

1) You can increase your debt! Inflation helps debtors bcos the money they owe also decline in value, so if you borrow tons of money before inflation kicks in, next time you only need to pay back less than what you borrowed in real terms. But you must not put them in your bank and earn fixed D bcos then your fixed D also decline in value and you suck thumb. So you must borrow money and spend them asap, like buying Prada bags and Ferragamo shoes and satisfy your immediate desires! So maybe not much help to build your retirement nest.

2) Buy stuff that will retain its value over time, this means buying things like limited edition Rolex watches, silver, gold, white gold, platinum jewellery or other maybe pure gold bars. (Not diamonds btw, if the real supply of diamonds are released into the global markets, 1 carat diamond is worth as much as 1g of sand, the perceived high value of diamonds can be regarded as the biggest marketing gimmick in our times. Sorry girls, diamonds are worthless, contrary to what you think).

So back to the original solution: nothing beats buying stocks and properties to combat inflation, so keep your savings in these asset classes. The rest of the asset classes like cash, bonds, other currencies sadly will not help much.
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Of bonds, yields, stocks and PE

Sunday, April 27th, 2008
I was inspired by Mike's posting on the stock vs bond deal to do a little more research on my own. From what I can gather, the chart below seems to be the latest updated yields for treasury bill/bonds by SG govt (I'm not sure!)


Quite pathetic right? I'm not sure if I can find any bond yield longer than 20 years old, because the website where I got the data didn't have such an option for me to choose. It seems like the 20 year bond gives us a yield of 3.40% - not exactly impressive, though it's the safest form of investment. The highest the bond yield ever went up to was 5.19%, back in 1990, for 5 year bond rate.

3.4% means a PE of 29
5.2% means a PE of 19

Since current 20 yr bond yield gives us a PE of 29, does it mean that once PE of STI reaches around 29, that pretty much forms the ceiling of the upsurge, since the inflow of money should rationally go over to bonds?

Not sure :)

Time waits for no man

Friday, April 25th, 2008
Another week passed...

Seems like the older you get, the faster time passes. Anybody who experienced this phenomenon? I was walking home from work today and I felt a sense of urgency to do what needs to be done before time slips through my palm like sand.

Time and tide waits for no man, so hurry up and do what you need to do. Prioritize your most important tasks first so that they will be done first :)